Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 13.582656 15.378148 17.428915 19.968496 23.062688 26.755085 31.564277
2025-03-16 10.976802 13.121466 15.774892 19.372795 24.245408 30.807832 40.679995
2025-03-23 9.662518 11.968511 14.978195 19.326070 25.689446 35.105056 51.084464
2025-03-30 8.486337 10.769502 13.861624 18.534950 25.778263 37.303863 58.897272
2025-04-06 7.534565 9.736698 12.803675 17.603773 25.390463 38.544610 65.390294
2025-04-13 6.824622 8.955924 11.996103 16.901177 25.187722 39.976470 72.741470
2025-04-20 6.866162 9.237985 12.756536 18.730282 29.554216 50.873496 106.145620
2025-04-27 6.611144 9.050638 12.770871 19.323499 31.831689 58.436528 137.165140
2025-05-04 6.122948 8.465818 12.095909 18.628634 31.493328 60.185370 152.758788
2025-05-11 5.924786 8.310364 12.093284 19.121016 33.627101 68.461799 198.151392
2025-05-18 5.610151 7.945851 11.708573 18.854031 34.100662 72.740596 233.580498
2025-05-25 5.332729 7.620860 11.361242 18.612064 34.580697 77.244795 276.696964
2025-06-01 5.125701 7.408964 11.211927 18.783588 36.170710 86.096444 362.968831
2025-06-08 4.823587 7.021487 10.725045 18.223459 35.908584 89.160452 422.640852
2025-06-15 4.626169 6.795070 10.504826 18.181366 36.937274 97.183401 548.307740
2025-06-22 4.351011 6.420667 9.988183 17.454938 36.042640 97.882417 611.994364
2025-06-29 4.080102 6.039854 9.435712 16.598594 34.660540 96.242502 648.927845
2025-07-06 3.857116 5.730800 8.997568 15.951455 33.755798 96.275891 714.061987
2025-07-13 3.945099 5.962853 9.583848 17.634386 39.834354 130.430220 1731.568556
2025-07-20 3.885987 5.931569 9.664355 18.178965 42.742280 153.237191 3356.513766
2025-07-27 3.699805 5.663574 9.264608 17.541012 41.741787 153.935940 4053.321767
2025-08-03 3.642228 5.624321 9.313674 17.993150 44.468369 179.770001 9912.486373
2025-08-10 3.516530 5.454693 9.090270 17.748037 44.756541 190.413712 18236.488064